Until the latest policy-setting meeting earlier this month, traders hoped Federal Reserve officials would ease their monetary tightening plans as economic data softens.
“Yes, there have been data points hinting at the easing of some prices, but they haven’t been able to muster sustainable momentum.” “So far, the effects seem to be not all that appreciably different from zero,” he said in a note late Wednesday. Republicans appeared poised to take control of the House but did not sweep polls at the extent anticipated, undermining optimism over the market-friendly gridlock investors anticipated.Įven as Wall Street awaits political clarity, with vote counting still underway, GLOBALT Investments vice president and senior portfolio manager Thomas Martin argued that markets are laser focused now on only one thing: the effect of central bank tightening on inflation. Thursday's market moves come after each of the major averages slid at least 2% in the previous session over midterm election uncertainty. Initial jobless claims, the most timely snapshot of the labor market, came in at 225,000, a 7,000 increase from the prior week, Labor Department data showed. Remarks by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker also suggested Thursday that officials may be nearing a pause, though other officials stressed the need for continued hikes, even if at a slower pace.Įlsewhere in economic data - in the shadow of CPI - filings for unemployment insurance rose last week but held near historic lows.
Moderations in the data again fueled bets that the Federal Reserve may ease the pace of its monetary tightening campaign, with investors shrugging off Chair Jerome Powell's assertion earlier this month that a policy shift is not imminent. Meanwhile, Treasury yields tumbled following the report, with the benchmark 10-year note falling well below the 4% level. The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite ( ^IXIC) advanced a whopping 7.4%, its sharpest climb since emerging from the pandemic crash in March 2020. The S&P 500 ( ^GSPC) rallied 5.5% - its biggest intraday gain since April 2020 - while the Dow Jones Industrial Average ( ^DJI) jumped 1,200 points, or 3.7%, the most since May 2020. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg called for a 7.9% annual rise and 0.5% monthly gain. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October reflected a 7.7% increase over last year and 0.4% increase over the prior month, better than Wall Street expected. stocks posted outsized gains Thursday, logging their biggest one-day climb in two years, as Wall Street cheered lighter-than-expected inflation data and monitored midterm election tallies.
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